If you had to bet the future of your IT organization on GenAI or human innovation, which would you choose?

I think you should one more option "BOTH" :)

I would like to know more from those colleagues that voted for GenAI.
You would bet on leaving the IT organization on GenAI based on what?

I feel the poll is flawed without an option for both or for human staff augmented by AI. For those of us already embracing AI, it's clear that it significantly boosts productivity in the modern workplace. As we grow more adept at leveraging AI, we can expect a substantial productivity surge over the next two years.

To @Richard Rushing's point, AI's effectiveness hinges on the quality of prompts and problem formulations provided by humans. As we refine this skill, the synergy between humans and AI will exponentially increase, fostering a sort of symbiotic partnership in innovation. Ideally, this collaboration will advance our collective goals for improving life on Earth and beyond.

This would be called the "Big Bang Development Methodology,"  a big flash and the application is done. 

The problem occurs when the requirements are 100 percent correct, issues are discovered early on, nothing needs a change or customization, the vendor is wrong, there are flawed assumptions, etc.

AI can write code and do it as well as humans, but it sucks at designing an application. It needs data to understand and have context.  It would be like trying to teach a calculator long division.

GenAi is a human innovation, no?